Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2.728092 3.222173 3.749315 4.350415 5.013699 5.720222 6.526642
2025-01-19 1.909077 2.559490 3.309864 4.225711 5.299688 6.506265 7.951245
2025-01-26 1.440474 2.179683 3.095957 4.281641 5.742545 7.452959 9.575761
2025-02-02 1.110970 1.893277 2.931033 4.345784 6.163755 8.365187 11.175603
2025-02-09 0.809916 1.574515 2.664711 4.230922 6.326560 8.944943 12.373980
2025-02-16 0.588860 1.316405 2.432668 4.118965 6.460683 9.469188 13.497276
2025-02-23 0.449665 1.151203 2.303356 4.122499 6.729386 10.156239 14.826975
2025-03-02 0.327504 0.979855 2.134211 4.042516 6.864804 10.658933 15.919503
2025-03-09 0.273408 0.923331 2.138926 4.214963 7.352602 11.634788 17.639740
2025-03-16 0.206344 0.816834 2.040788 4.214317 7.583435 12.261673 18.906612
2025-03-23 0.178482 0.792302 2.083285 4.435878 8.142629 13.346525 20.797861
2025-03-30 0.149563 0.754817 2.095073 4.604052 8.623655 14.329534 22.565594
2025-04-06 0.115818 0.691730 2.051826 4.681713 8.978520 15.156727 24.157381
2025-04-13 0.079980 0.601426 1.938695 4.628753 9.127720 15.694594 25.364411
2025-04-20 0.060821 0.556439 1.913278 4.725681 9.511095 16.572869 27.051855
2025-04-27 0.045241 0.513589 1.884751 4.812133 9.876926 17.429375 28.718484
2025-05-04 0.026647 0.434043 1.754649 4.697308 9.909669 17.795680 29.702231
2025-05-11 0.014253 0.364170 1.631164 4.580930 9.929588 18.137375 30.650577
2025-05-18 0.008189 0.323183 1.573421 4.586539 10.149063 18.777019 32.026676
2025-05-25 0.003509 0.272807 1.476012 4.501380 10.207742 19.171331 33.053699
2025-06-01 0.002402 0.266335 1.508235 4.687187 10.736645 20.288343 35.132556
2025-06-08 0.000899 0.235090 1.455208 4.686684 10.939252 20.906817 36.496208
2025-06-15 0.000626 0.236737 1.510963 4.924748 11.566678 22.188484 38.835827